Search found 785 matches

by Dave C
Wed Nov 28, 2012 6:49 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: statistical significance
Replies: 18
Views: 3160

I don't feel like digging out my stats texts books right now so I'll just suggest you search wikipedia. Search for statistical significance. They should at least give the equations for t-tests, and probably for f-tests and z-tests. I would think that the bigger problem will be in establishing the va...
by Dave C
Wed Sep 05, 2012 6:26 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2012 Alberta CTHS Sale
Replies: 1
Views: 677

A number of the people who used to be large consignors, didn't breed any mares this year from what I've heard. You can expect the sale to be much smaller in years to come.
by Dave C
Sat Aug 25, 2012 6:27 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: you know what i am really finding out the more i watch/bet?
Replies: 4
Views: 1163

The rate at which a horse is consuming energy will determine how long it can maintain its' pace. A horse that gets hooked on the front end, might not run faster but it often runs harder because it isn't relaxed and therefore burns more energy. A lot of people I know have been going to the track all ...
by Dave C
Fri Jul 06, 2012 6:38 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Field Size
Replies: 3
Views: 1110

For wagering, my preferred field size is 7 horses. Enough horses to ensure that you can get some odds, but not big enough that you are going to lose because of traffic. Nothing more annoying than watching the best horse not getting a chance to run to its' ability because of traffic. From the perspec...
by Dave C
Fri Jun 22, 2012 6:32 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: FROG JUICE (dermorphin)
Replies: 72
Views: 19496

Griff - since the penalty is a civil, not criminal, penalty they have very broad scope for banning the use, and possession, of compounds that they classify as performance enhancing. Even within that broad scope, they have to use scientific evidence and a reasonable process if they don't want the cou...
by Dave C
Mon Jun 11, 2012 6:29 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 57% win percentage??
Replies: 70
Views: 14961

His percentage outside Alberta was never particularly good, Woodbine was no different. Nothing magical about him even in Alberta, just easier competition.
by Dave C
Fri Jun 08, 2012 6:38 am
Forum: Stallions
Topic: I'll have another at stud
Replies: 74
Views: 17640

If they overprice him like Facebook, the odds of him failing will go way up. If they price him appropriately for a new sire with a modest pedigree (~20k) he will get a good mix of mares to prove himself and earn a high stud fee.
by Dave C
Fri Jun 08, 2012 6:31 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Fort Erie Closing
Replies: 17
Views: 3807

The pencils are sharp enough, they're just trying to use the wrong end.
by Dave C
Sun May 20, 2012 9:37 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: oh shit we might have a triple crown winner this year
Replies: 40
Views: 7774

Bet the superfecta 7,9/7,9/4,6/4,6 - $4 total for a $400+ payoff. Had the win, exacta, and tri as well, but they didn't pay anything to speak of.
by Dave C
Sat May 19, 2012 7:50 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: oh shit we might have a triple crown winner this year
Replies: 40
Views: 7774

I think Bode will skip the Belmont because Baffert knows he isn't going to beat IHA beyond 9f. Mike Smith nursed Bode because he saw how much horse IHA was down the stretch in the KD. IHA is bred to handle the Belmont distance. Not another horse in the KD or the Preakness really want 10f never mind ...
by Dave C
Thu May 10, 2012 6:35 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Why I keep losing respect for Chantal Sutherland
Replies: 40
Views: 10960

Reminds me of the Danica Patrick thing in Indy Racing. It galled the male drivers that she got all the attention, but because there were people coming to see if she could win, it put money in everyone's pockets. The question I have is: What are the racing authorities doing to exploit this girl and p...
by Dave C
Sat May 05, 2012 6:49 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: why are they carding 3 horse races at arlington?
Replies: 1
Views: 767

I guess they didn't want people to think they were running match races.
by Dave C
Sat Apr 21, 2012 6:34 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: tracks and their cameras
Replies: 1
Views: 709

Little things like this are what create the perception of good/bad customer service.
by Dave C
Sun Mar 25, 2012 6:46 am
Forum: General Discussion
Topic: Canada
Replies: 3
Views: 1068

I would say that the brightest spot from what I can see is Manitoba. They are the only ones who are showing good growth in their handle. Alberta is in serious trouble due to terrible management by everyone since the slots arrived. The slot contract will almost certainly not be renewed when it runs o...
by Dave C
Fri Mar 09, 2012 8:08 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Ontario racing
Replies: 21
Views: 3845

Not the economic impact but the economic benefit. In doing the economic analysis the economists will build into the analysis the assumption that if the industry were to disappear, nothing would take its' place. The economic impact therefore becomes very large. In reality, the farms will convert to o...