Pedigree Handicapping for the Derby
Posted: Tue May 02, 2017 12:58 pm
http://www.horseracingnation.com/blogs/pedigree_power/Female_Famlies_and_the_Kentucky_Derby_123 -
This article indicates that female Family 4 (in particular subfamilies 4-m and 4-r) accounts for the most classic winners. Other female subfamilies that produce a large number of classic winners are 1-x and 23-b. Additional notable female subfamilies are 8-c, 8-f, 8-h and 12-b.
Here are 2017’s Kentucky Derby entrants:
Horse -- Sire -- Broodmare Sire -- Female Family
Hence -- Street Boss -- AP Indy -- 4-m
Classic Empire -- PotN -- Cat Thief -- 4-m
Gunnevera -- Dialed In -- Unbridled -- 16-h
Irish War Cry -- Curlin -- Polish Numbers -- 14-c
Always Dreaming -- Bodemeister -- In Excess -- 4-o
Girvin -- Tale of Ekati -- Malibu Moon -- A1
Gormley -- Malibu Moon -- Bernstein -- 23-b
Irap -- Tiznow -- Storm Cat -- 9-b
Thunder Snow -- Helmet -- Dubai Destination -- 4-k
Practical Joke -- Into Mischief -- Distorted Humor -- A4
J Boys Echo -- Mineshaft -- Menifee -- 16-g
State of Honor -- To Honor and Serve-- Elusive Quality -- 9-f
Tapwrit -- Tapit -- Successful Appeal-- 19
Fast and Accurate-- Hansen -- Green Dancer -- 1-w
McCraken -- Ghostzapper -- Seeking the Gold -- 9-e
Battle of Midway-- Smart Strike -- Concerto -- 10-a
Patch -- Union Rags -- AP Indy -- 8-h
Untrapped -- Trappe Shot -- Giant’s Causeway -- 2-f
Lookin at Lee -- Looking at Lucky -- Langfuhr -- 9-e
Sonneteer -- Midnight Lute -- Half Ours -- 9-b
Recent Kentucky Derby winners are: I’ll Have Another (Flower Alley-Arch 23-b), Orb (Malibu Moon-Unbridled 8-c), California Chrome (Lucky Pulpit-Not for Love A4), American Pharoah (PotN-Yankee Gentleman 14), and Nyquist (Uncle Mo-Forestry 6-f).
2017 KD horses that check all the classic boxes for sire, broodmare sire-line and female family are: Classic Empire, Gormley, Patch (if you give Union Rags credit for winning a classic rather than siring a classic winner), Hence (if you count Cathryn Sophia, by Street Boss, as a classic winner), and Always Dreaming.
So my pedigree play is Classic Empire, Gormley, Patch, Hence and Always Dreaming in a female family Superfecta box.
This article indicates that female Family 4 (in particular subfamilies 4-m and 4-r) accounts for the most classic winners. Other female subfamilies that produce a large number of classic winners are 1-x and 23-b. Additional notable female subfamilies are 8-c, 8-f, 8-h and 12-b.
Here are 2017’s Kentucky Derby entrants:
Horse -- Sire -- Broodmare Sire -- Female Family
Hence -- Street Boss -- AP Indy -- 4-m
Classic Empire -- PotN -- Cat Thief -- 4-m
Gunnevera -- Dialed In -- Unbridled -- 16-h
Irish War Cry -- Curlin -- Polish Numbers -- 14-c
Always Dreaming -- Bodemeister -- In Excess -- 4-o
Girvin -- Tale of Ekati -- Malibu Moon -- A1
Gormley -- Malibu Moon -- Bernstein -- 23-b
Irap -- Tiznow -- Storm Cat -- 9-b
Thunder Snow -- Helmet -- Dubai Destination -- 4-k
Practical Joke -- Into Mischief -- Distorted Humor -- A4
J Boys Echo -- Mineshaft -- Menifee -- 16-g
State of Honor -- To Honor and Serve-- Elusive Quality -- 9-f
Tapwrit -- Tapit -- Successful Appeal-- 19
Fast and Accurate-- Hansen -- Green Dancer -- 1-w
McCraken -- Ghostzapper -- Seeking the Gold -- 9-e
Battle of Midway-- Smart Strike -- Concerto -- 10-a
Patch -- Union Rags -- AP Indy -- 8-h
Untrapped -- Trappe Shot -- Giant’s Causeway -- 2-f
Lookin at Lee -- Looking at Lucky -- Langfuhr -- 9-e
Sonneteer -- Midnight Lute -- Half Ours -- 9-b
Recent Kentucky Derby winners are: I’ll Have Another (Flower Alley-Arch 23-b), Orb (Malibu Moon-Unbridled 8-c), California Chrome (Lucky Pulpit-Not for Love A4), American Pharoah (PotN-Yankee Gentleman 14), and Nyquist (Uncle Mo-Forestry 6-f).
2017 KD horses that check all the classic boxes for sire, broodmare sire-line and female family are: Classic Empire, Gormley, Patch (if you give Union Rags credit for winning a classic rather than siring a classic winner), Hence (if you count Cathryn Sophia, by Street Boss, as a classic winner), and Always Dreaming.
So my pedigree play is Classic Empire, Gormley, Patch, Hence and Always Dreaming in a female family Superfecta box.