Invasor [ARG]

Discussion and analysis of thoroughbred stallions.

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Brigitte
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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Sun Oct 19, 2014 4:40 pm

Invasive Cocktail finished 3d in a 7f allowance. He tracked the early pace, was 3 wide around the turn falling from 1 to 3 lengths behind the leader and only made up 1/2 lengths in the stretch. But he was 10 3/4 lengths ahead of the rest.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA8.pdf

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Wed Oct 22, 2014 11:44 am

Aniar finished 3d of 6 at 1 1/16 miles at Keeneland. He disputed the pace through the second turn then had to settle for third to the closer who won and the horse he had been dueling with.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA1.pdf

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Fri Oct 24, 2014 8:01 pm

Street Invader won his third victory when he got the lead early and never let go of it in a 1 1/16 mile race. He won by 6 1/2 lengths.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA1.pdf

So Street Invader is a confirmed front runner. When he stumbled at the start last time he was taken out of his game and didn't run well. This time he got the lead early. His victory was less impressive because he was dropped in class for the result. Needing the lead makes Street invader vulnerable to early speed, so to move him up in class longer is better. Not being a trainer I can't say if he could be trained to be more flexible, for example by working him in company and presenting targets. Maybe trainers don't put this kind of effort into workaday horses or maybe it's seldom successful. In the UK they "cover them up", if that doesn't discourage them from trying to win it can be helpful.

Street Invader combines Invasor with Street Cry, a distance x distance breeding. More on that later.

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Mon Oct 27, 2014 10:51 pm

Spanish Invader got the lead but was pressured the whole way, first by a head in front on one rival, then first by a head in front of the other. It got to him in the end and he finished 3d of 7 in what was essentially a 3 horse race.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA4.pdf

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Thu Oct 30, 2014 4:50 pm

Envahir finished 2nd of 6 in a 5f dash on synthetic. She was outsprinted to the turn, went 3 wide, was 4th at the top of the stretch 3 wide and made it to 2nd.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA5.pdf

This was Envahir's second race, the first was on a sloppy dirt track, this one on synthetic. In both she had no early speed and got second, but finished evenly and couldn't catch the winner. How about a longer race?

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Thu Oct 30, 2014 5:32 pm

Expression finished 2nd of 7 by a neck in a $62,500 AOC at 6f. It was a tough beat. She broke 6th, chased 3 wide from midway on the turn, angled 5 wide into upper stretch and finished willingly to threaten late but missed by a neck at the wire.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA7.pdf

Expression is a multiple stakes placed sprinter in New York and has earned $304,194. But her owner/trainer, Charlton Baker, doesn't love her anymore and put her in for a tag after managing her so well for years. I don't know if she has any issues. She ran once on grass and didn't finish (for the only time in her life) and ran once at a mile and finished 5th. Now that she's older she may well go longer, after all she's an Invasor. She's a good sprinter, not top class, so if she has untapped potential it would be at longer distance. But her real potential is as a brood mare with Invasor genes and speed.

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Sat Nov 01, 2014 7:40 pm

Betray the Dark finished 3d of 7 in a 6f MCL at Woodbine. She broke 5th and chased 3 wide on the turn, got up to 2nd but, although she finished gamely, lost 2nd in the stretch by a head. She was claimed for $50,000.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14CAN1.pdf

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Mon Nov 03, 2014 12:39 am

Enzaal is entered in a handicap at 1m 4f and At the Races has him as the favorite!
http://www.attheraces.com/card.aspx?rac ... =racecards

Enzaal had a couple of wins, ran a bad race and was sold. He didn't run well for his new connections. He'd go to the front and run out of gas over and over. His rating dropped like a stone. Finally they covered him up and he stopped weakening and finished midpack and closer to the front but still hasn't placed. I'll be thrilled if he places at last and happy his turn around has been noticed. But just in case I've decided to party in advance.
Attachments
Enzaal, favorite.tiff
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Brigitte
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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Mon Nov 03, 2014 7:43 pm

Good party yesterday, well timed. Today Enzaal finished 8th 0f 12, 5 3/4 lengths behind the winner. a bit worse than last time.
http://www.irishracing.com/result?prn=W ... 1411031725

INVASORS IN THE UK 2014

Enzaal is a dual surface horse, has won on polytrack and a class 4 on turf at 10f. He ran 12 times to the end of his 3d yeqr, but struggled at 4, although the change in running style and the increase to 12f races helped. Too bad he'll never try dirt.
http://www.irishracing.com/horse?name=Enzaal&prt=457032

Phangio runs on turf and has ended up a hurdler in races at 2 miles & 6f. He has placed but never won. Every once in awhile he shows a flash of talent, unpredictably.
http://www.irishracing.com/horse?prt=452409&prw=A

Invasor Luck got his only win on polytrack, does not like turf. He could be a dirt horse. He is no longer in training with Fanshawe and may be sold, or possibly get a shot at dirt in Dubai.

Wrood is 4,1,2,1 at the end of her 3d year, all her races were on polytrack. She is very competitive and won at 10f, is expected to improve, and has been kept in training with Fanshawe in England.
http://www.irishracing.com/horse?name=Wrood&prt=497431

Ihtikar was bought as a potential hurdler but showed no affinity for it, no liking for turf, and finished midfield in his maiden races on polytrack. He is out of training. He may have been a dirt horse.
http://www.irishracing.com/horse?prt=459788&prw=A

Those are the horses that raced in the UK in 2014. They and others that raced in the UK demonstrate that most Invasors run at 10f and longer, and that many run on turf. But none have run at a high level or shown much speed or style - except Mooqtar at 2 and he didn't train on. Wrood is the most progressive, and definitely the gamest.

Adeem raced poorly on turf in the UK at 2 then ran excellently on dirt at 10f and 12f in Sweden at 3. demonstrating that surface can be a problem. This year he was injured in training and didn't recover: he ran last in 3 races and is probably finished racing.

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Wed Nov 05, 2014 8:39 pm

Al Faatik won as the favorite for his new connections at Portland Meadows at 5.5f. He dueled for the lead between rivals, got clear and quickly drew off.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 4USA10.pdf

Al Faatik is out of a Graded Stakes Winner on turf. He and his brother MawjTamy, who raced twice in England, are examples of breeding Invasor to an accomplished mare with disappointing results. I've read that August Belmont would breed "stout" to "stout" but seldom got fast horses out of it, and they didn't win much. So today they frequently cross to fast milers. More on this later.

Al Faatik is 26,2,0,2 and spent 3 years taking a beating on synthetic at Golden Gate Fields in sprints and a couple of mile races. Both his wins were dirt sprints at small tracks, and so was one of his 3rd places, the other 3rd place was at 1 1/16 on synthetic at GG, one of the few times he ran at a mile or over. He is probably a dirt horse and definitely an enigma, sometimes he runs, more often he doesn't finish well. It's good to see him win as he pleased, even in such a minor race.

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Thu Nov 06, 2014 3:24 pm

Invasion Point finished 3d of 10 in a starter Allowance at Aqueduct today. He ran in 2nd and dueled for the lead starting at the end of the backstretch, got the lead in mid-stretch and held on to it for another sixteenth before losing the lead to the two who dead-heated for first then continued gamely to deny the favorite 3d place. Sent off at 23.00 he exceeded expectations. But what looks best for the future is that he fought such a long distance and, even when passed, was game to the end, no fading or weakening.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA7.pdf

I always dislike seeing Invasors sprinting but it seems to suit Invasion Point, and he gets top jockey Javier Castellano.

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Thu Nov 06, 2014 5:29 pm

INVADING HUMOR has a new trainer and he's entered her in the Long Island Handicap G3 on turf at 1 1/2.
Her most accomplished rivals are Aigue Marine, a G3 winner who set a track record at Delaware at 1 3/8, she runs mid-pack, and Viva Rafaela, multiple GS placed, and 3d in the Flower Bowl G1 at 1 1/4 in her last outing, a front runner. The field includes other stakes winners and the participants are by an impressive collection of Grass Daddies. I was surprised at the entry because she was campaigned very conservatively, her stakes win was against NY fillies, and she didn't run her race last time out. I wondered if they were trying to change her running style to prepare for this race - then I noticed the new trainer. He really is new, with only 634 starts. I bet there's a story there.

Invading Humor should get the extra 1/8 mile if Invasors in Europe are an indication. The PPs comment that her speed figures are low, her best well below the average win speed for the race. I was surprised because of all her wins - but she seems to do what it takes to win, not much more. Also, the early fractions in a 1 1/2 mile race should be slower than what she's used to. Is there more in the bank? That is the question. Ausus didn't show up until she raced against G1 winner Daisy Devine. Wish I knew what happened last time. Fighting the jockey? Didn't like dirt in her face? Just a bad day? Will she get an easy lead? will she speed duel with speedy Viva Rafaela? Will she get stuck behind horses and get discouraged?

A cybertoast to Invasive Humor, may she be at her best when she struts the stage! Here are the PPS:
http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewe ... am3=916370

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Thu Nov 06, 2014 5:42 pm

Here's the Blood Horse article about the Long Island Handicap, mostly about front runner Viva Rafaela.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ ... -speedster

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Sat Nov 08, 2014 9:58 pm

Invading Humor tried to steal the Long Island Handicap. She shot to the lead and stayed there through 1 1/4 miles on yielding turf, attended by speedy second betting choice Viva Rafaela. The depressing result was that Invading Humor finished 9th and Viva Rafaela finished 10th, 3 lengths behind her. It made sense for Invading Humor to try stealing the race but Viva Rafaela is a confirmed front runner who was a close 3d in the G1 Flower Bowl after trying to steal it, and had the highest speed figures in the race - not a good target! The good news is that Invading Humor runs well on yielding turf and managed to take out a horse like Viva Rafaela over longer than 1 1/4 miles. Invading Humor's speed figures were misleading - she had more in the bank. The bad news is that she and Viva Rafaela were a big disappointment and looked really bad. Viva Rafaela can afford it more than Invading Humor.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA7.pdf

I hope her new trainer uses what he's learned about Invading Humor to place her where her best strategy isn't predictably trumped. (More than one commenter predicted what happened)

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Re: Invasor [ARG]

Postby Brigitte » Sat Nov 08, 2014 10:05 pm

Invasive Cocktail was 3d of 8 in a 5.5f ALW at Zia Park. He broke 7th, was unhurried early then went 4 wide to get the show.
http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pd ... 14USA8.pdf