Soundness question

Understanding pedigrees, inbreeding, dosage, etc.

Moderators: Roguelet, hpkingjr, WaveMaster, Lucy

vineyridge
Grade III Winner
Posts: 1195
Joined: Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:41 am

Soundness question

Postby vineyridge » Tue May 15, 2012 8:03 pm

I've just finished reading "Gold Rush" about Mr. Prospector and have a question.

The number of the named get discussed in the book whose racing careers were ended with injury or who died later of laminitis and/or colic or just died young seems to me to be extremely high. I know he had a lot of foals, so I would like to ask those of you who have read (or written) the book and know the TB industry if Mr. P's numbers are unusually high for dying young or having to stop racing because of injury.
Thread Killer Extraordinaire

louis finochio
Darley line
Posts: 9181
Joined: Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:21 am
Location: Alhambra-Calif.
Contact:

Postby louis finochio » Wed May 16, 2012 6:07 am

I have been told by trainers that Mr. P. passed on his unsoundness problems to a high % of his progeny. When you inbred to his dam Gold Digger, his sire RAN, & Mr. P. you are inviting unsoundness.

When Mr. P. was bred to those BMS by Olden Times, the progeny started 194 starts, In Reality 42 starts, Tentam 18 starts, Olden Times 36 starts, all those BMS descend from the sire line of Fair Play.
Those without sin cast the first stone.
Louis Finochio

louis finochio
Darley line
Posts: 9181
Joined: Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:21 am
Location: Alhambra-Calif.
Contact:

Postby louis finochio » Wed May 16, 2012 6:31 am

Mr. P. was bred to 16 Fair Play mares $ bred 13 winners or 81 %, & 4 SW 25 %. Mr. P had a postive bloodline affinity with those Fair Play sire line mares.
Those without sin cast the first stone.

Louis Finochio

griff
Leading Sire
Posts: 3519
Joined: Thu Sep 16, 2004 5:18 pm
Location: Yorktown, VA

Postby griff » Wed May 16, 2012 9:06 am

What about Native Dancer line-breeding or in-breeding using Mr P and ND?

griff
"We has met the enemy and he is us" [Pogo]

Fireslam
Allowance Winner
Posts: 497
Joined: Tue Mar 11, 2008 3:05 pm
Location: Zambezi

Postby Fireslam » Wed May 16, 2012 9:33 am

Bet those were some old Fair Play mares.

DDT
Breeder's Cup Winner
Posts: 2021
Joined: Tue Jan 08, 2008 1:35 pm
Location: New Jersey

Postby DDT » Wed May 16, 2012 10:00 am

As usual, Louis only brings out selected examples, here are just 5 that have inbreeding to Mr. Prospector including Horse of the Year for 2011 and the recent Kentucky Derby winner.

Havre de Grace, 3X5 Mr. Prospector, 4X5 Northern Dancer
Ruler on Ice, 3X5 Mr. Prospector, 4X4 Raise a Native, 5X5 Northern Dancer, 5X5 Bold Ruler
My Miss Aurelia, 2X4 Mr. Prospector, 3X5X5 Raise a Native
Hansen, 4X5 Mr. Prospector, 4X5 Raise a Native, 5X5 Northern Dancer, 5X5 Secretariat
I’ll Have Another, 4X4 Mr. Prospector, 4X4 Danzig, 5X5X5 Northern Dancer.

Inbreeding to Mr. Prospector does not always mean the horse is doomed.

DDT

vineyridge
Grade III Winner
Posts: 1195
Joined: Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:41 am

Postby vineyridge » Wed May 16, 2012 11:18 am

This was not inbreeding to Mr. P that I was bumfuzzled by. It's his actual get.

I can make a list of the ones who didn't last till twenty from the book.

I was just wondering if anyone knew how this compared to the normal run of race horses by all sires.
Thread Killer Extraordinaire

DDT
Breeder's Cup Winner
Posts: 2021
Joined: Tue Jan 08, 2008 1:35 pm
Location: New Jersey

Postby DDT » Wed May 16, 2012 11:46 am

vineyridge

The national average for starters versus foals for stallions is about 67-70%, with the leading sires having a little higher average. That indicates that at least 33-30 out of every 100 foals do not make it to the races. I do not know what Mr. Prospector's averages were, but it seems to be in line with the national average.

DDT

User avatar
Bast
Sophomore Sire
Posts: 3185
Joined: Mon Jul 05, 2010 7:59 pm
Location: SW Ohio

Postby Bast » Wed May 16, 2012 12:09 pm

Fireslam wrote:Bet those were some old Fair Play mares.


They must have had some fabulous care during their lives. I understand that there are sill some around. 8)
May 2013: Plan ahead now for the Phalaris/Teddy Centennial!
*****************************
A horse gallops with his lungs
Perseveres with his heart
And wins with his character. --Tesio

xfactor fan
Breeder's Cup Winner
Posts: 2212
Joined: Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:46 pm

Postby xfactor fan » Wed May 16, 2012 12:13 pm

Speed is a delicate balance of muscle and bone structure. Mr Prospector was very fast. So his offspring had a chance of being very fast too. Some may have been to fast for their bones. Some may have been under conditioned for their speed and bones.

The physics of equine locomotion dictate that the lower the weight from knee to hoof, the faster the the leg can move.

Matchemforever
Maiden Special Weight
Posts: 169
Joined: Wed May 14, 2008 12:07 pm

Postby Matchemforever » Wed May 16, 2012 1:02 pm

I was told that Gold Digger had a club foot and passed it on. Can anyone confirm that? I know there are various theories out there about club feet. Had a Mr. Prospector decendant (Before I knew anything about Mr. P) that had a club foot although mild.

Seems I've also seen a photo of Gold Digger with quite a bit on, for just standing for a photo. Was she a bit of trouble?

griff
Leading Sire
Posts: 3519
Joined: Thu Sep 16, 2004 5:18 pm
Location: Yorktown, VA

Postby griff » Wed May 16, 2012 1:05 pm

maybe so but I would hesitate to pay a stud fee to breed a club foot to anything

griff
"We has met the enemy and he is us" [Pogo]

User avatar
Patuxet
Grade III Winner
Posts: 1150
Joined: Fri Dec 01, 2006 10:36 pm
Location: New England & Florida

Postby Patuxet » Wed May 16, 2012 2:18 pm

vineyridge: How many of the casualties were trained by D. Wayne Lucas?

Louis: Did you overlook the fact that Mr. P's sire, Raise A Native, was already inbred 5X5 to Fair Play through Display and Man O'War?
"He is pure air and fire and the dull elements of earth and water never appear in him; he is indeed a horse ..." Wm. Shakespeare - Henry V

CosMos
2yo Maiden
Posts: 92
Joined: Sat Mar 08, 2008 3:50 pm
Contact:

Postby CosMos » Wed May 16, 2012 2:48 pm

Soundness of the Modern Racehorse

by Avalyn Hunter ©

"The most likely culprit in increased unsoundness, however, is the greatly increased commercial market. Unsound horses were generally not an attractive proposition for breeding in the early part of the century, and those that succeeded did so either because they were exceptional performers despite their physical problems or because they made the best of initially limited opportunities. But in today's market, if a colt of fashionable pedigree can win one or two major races, he is almost certain to receive a reasonable opportunity at stud even if he broke down with only a few starts under his belt. Fillies of similar credentials are routinely sent to the best sires. And established stallions will be forgiven almost any faults they may transmit so long as a good percentage of their youngsters manage to win notable races.

Although the juvenile-heavy purse structure that allowed the early spread of unsoundness no longer exists, early maturity still drives the market for young horses, where a quick return on investment is considered desirable. And most top commercial sires excel at producing horses that can race well at two or, at the latest, early in their three-year-old seasons. But serious faults are more the rule that the exception in this population. Storm Cat, himself an unsound horse who did not race past his juvenile year, routinely transmits his own offset knees; Mr. Prospector's get frequently turned out at the knee and had small feet; Raise a Native contributed top-heaviness and upright pasterns; and Seattle Slew, A.P. Indy, and Unbridled have all tended to sire large, massive specimens who are either very good or woefully unsound. "
http://www.pedigreepost.net/archives/SoundnessAvalynHunter.html

User avatar
ElPrado
Grade II Winner
Posts: 1478
Joined: Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:52 pm
Location: Tampa

Postby ElPrado » Wed May 16, 2012 4:28 pm

In several instances, if the horse were given time to develop instead of trying to win back the purchase price 10 minutes after a 2 year old sale there would be a lot more sound horses running. I've said it before and I will no doubt say it again, if the colt or filly is going to be 17 hands +, he should not be running in May of his 2 year old year. It isn't so much an inherent unsoundness as ignoring the fact that baby giraffes need time to grow into their bone structure. Trainers and owners trying to run immature horses deserve to have them break down so that they lose their investment.