Back to Pedigree Query
   SearchSearch    MemberlistMemberlist     RegisterRegister   ProfileProfile    Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages    Log inLog in 

does anyone have a derby horse yet?
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next
 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Pedigree Query Forum Index -> Racing
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
bdw0617
Darley line


Joined: 04 May 2007
Posts: 8936
Location: Little Rock, AR

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 1:56 am    Post subject: does anyone have a derby horse yet? Reply with quote

anyone?

I don';t really like anything yet but the one horse I could see putting it together and running further is creative cause still.
_________________
"When the solution is simple, God is answering.”
- Einstein
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail AIM Address
Toccet02
3rd Year Sire


Joined: 13 Jul 2006
Posts: 3306
Location: New York City

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 9:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

too early for me to make predictions, but in the flag-waving department, I like Algorithms and Sabercat. I have the latter in my fantasy stable project, and the former is half to Justin Phillip, who I also have in that stable.
_________________
All shouting does is make you lose your voice.
----Arrested Development
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
diomed
Grade III Winner


Joined: 04 Oct 2004
Posts: 1107

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 10:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Too early IMO. Also, of all the Bernardini's Alpha has the best "derby" pedigree IMO. Algorithms could just be a mudder or a sprinter. I am not writing Hansen off yet(unlike others). Then there is Union Rags who I don't think has a Derby pedigree(my problem is his sire) but you never know until the running is done. I really don't have a Derby horse yet and probably won't until March/April.

Last edited by diomed on Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:14 pm; edited 1 time in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail
Jorge
Moderator


Joined: 16 Sep 2004
Posts: 5484

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 11:55 am    Post subject: Re: does anyone have a derby horse yet? Reply with quote

bdw0617 wrote:
anyone?

I don't really like anything yet but the one horse I could see putting it together and running further is creative cause still.


I tend to agree with "bdw0617" regarding Creative Cause because of his powerful pedigree. The Vigors-lookalike Hansen looks more like a miler to me (perhaps up to 9 furlongs with age) than a 10 furlongs Derby horse.
Wishful thinking is one thing and factual reality is another. Sure would I like Hansen to become a solid Derby contender but reality dictates different in my analysis.

Perhaps a couple of top-notch, top-pedigree aspirants may appear during the next two months, including a couple of European performers. Or who knows if one of the overlooked also-rans may transform into a Prince Valiant and we may realize what a fine pedigree he had after all. Very Happy
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
bdw0617
Darley line


Joined: 04 May 2007
Posts: 8936
Location: Little Rock, AR

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 4:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Every time I see Union rags I just keep thinking "Circular Quay". He just seems like a clone of that horse. very good he seems best like he will be a late closing one turn sprinter (alot like sway away).


this may very well be the year a euro wins the derby, with all of horses looking more and more like sprinters... humm
_________________
"When the solution is simple, God is answering.”
- Einstein
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail AIM Address
Bast
Sophomore Sire


Joined: 05 Jul 2010
Posts: 3185
Location: SW Ohio

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 4:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In moving from a test of capable 3 y os with established credentials and running style to a free-for-all of young horses with a maiden win + enough earnings to get them in, the Kentucky Derby has become less a horse race and more a game of chance.

I have to admit to losing interest.
_________________
May 2013: Plan ahead now for the Phalaris/Teddy Centennial!
*****************************
A horse gallops with his lungs
Perseveres with his heart
And wins with his character. --Tesio
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
ct2346
Starters Handicap


Joined: 27 Aug 2006
Posts: 509

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 5:08 pm    Post subject: Re: does anyone have a derby horse yet? Reply with quote

Jorge wrote:
bdw0617 wrote:
anyone?

I don't really like anything yet but the one horse I could see putting it together and running further is creative cause still.


Perhaps a couple of top-notch, top-pedigree aspirants may appear during the next two months, including a couple of European performers. Or who knows if one of the overlooked also-rans may transform into a Prince Valiant and we may realize what a fine pedigree he had after all. Very Happy


Interestingly, Prince Valiant himself was a Derby contender back in the early 80's for Greentree and he did have a fine pedigree. Think he won a prep or two that year....
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
bdw0617
Darley line


Joined: 04 May 2007
Posts: 8936
Location: Little Rock, AR

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 5:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bast wrote:
In moving from a test of capable 3 y os with established credentials and running style to a free-for-all of young horses with a maiden win + enough earnings to get them in, the Kentucky Derby has become less a horse race and more a game of chance.

I have to admit to losing interest.
i agree


I predict that if we don't' get serious about our derby the euros are going to start handing it to us dispute the lack of dirt pedigree. at some point it doesn't matter what you prefer if you can only run 7F


that horse, was it a filly, that closed like a freight train in the bc juvenille sprint. i wonder what her pedigree is like
_________________
"When the solution is simple, God is answering.”
- Einstein
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail AIM Address
Sailor Kenshin
Starters Handicap


Joined: 26 Oct 2010
Posts: 606

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 8:10 pm    Post subject: Re: does anyone have a derby horse yet? Reply with quote

Jorge wrote:
bdw0617 wrote:
anyone?

I don't really like anything yet but the one horse I could see putting it together and running further is creative cause still.


I tend to agree with "bdw0617" regarding Creative Cause because of his powerful pedigree. The Vigors-lookalike Hansen looks more like a miler to me (perhaps up to 9 furlongs with age) than a 10 furlongs Derby horse.
Wishful thinking is one thing and factual reality is another. Sure would I like Hansen to become a solid Derby contender but reality dictates different in my analysis.

Perhaps a couple of top-notch, top-pedigree aspirants may appear during the next two months, including a couple of European performers. Or who knows if one of the overlooked also-rans may transform into a Prince Valiant and we may realize what a fine pedigree he had after all. Very Happy


I'd go for Hansen, too, but unfortunately, I think his last race proves otherwise.
_________________
Somebody bet on the gray!
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
bdw0617
Darley line


Joined: 04 May 2007
Posts: 8936
Location: Little Rock, AR

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 9:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I like creative cause pedigree, both sides, I like the trainer even more and I like the fact they didn't go too hard on him as a 2YO.

if he can get back to his norfolk win, he is legit and will run all day
_________________
"When the solution is simple, God is answering.”
- Einstein
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail AIM Address
Affirmed1
Maiden Special Weight


Joined: 01 Apr 2008
Posts: 219
Location: OFF THE WALL OR POLITICS

PostPosted: Tue Jan 31, 2012 12:24 pm    Post subject: Union Rags for me Reply with quote

He was one jump short of being 2 year old champion. He looks to me like he will run farther. Smile
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
stancaris
Allowance Winner


Joined: 16 Sep 2004
Posts: 435

PostPosted: Tue Jan 31, 2012 5:13 pm    Post subject: less a horse race and more a game of chance Reply with quote

I disagree with that statement-- less a horse race and more a game of chance. I think the race is still a horse race and not a game of chance. The only difference nowadays is that the usual Derby winner is a horse that breaks its maiden in Sept or Later. In olden times the Derby winner almost always broke its maiden in May, June, or July. In the last 12 years almost all Derby winners were not dual qualifiers.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Jorge
Moderator


Joined: 16 Sep 2004
Posts: 5484

PostPosted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 10:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cozzetti has the pedigree and is a late rusher who finished
very close among stakes company. But, yikes, imagine a son of the late Cozzene winning the Derby at this stage of his forgotten career. Hmmm, no so probable Question but who knows Wink .

COZZETTI (gray/ro colt 2009)
http://www.pedigreequery.com/cozzetti
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Joltman
Grade III Winner


Joined: 06 Jan 2006
Posts: 1110

PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2012 7:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

i like Algorithms

Bernardini, inbreeding to Fappiano. Can rally late. I like

jm
_________________
Run the race - the one that's really worth winning.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Joltman
Grade III Winner


Joined: 06 Jan 2006
Posts: 1110

PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2012 8:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jorge wrote:
Cozzetti has the pedigree and is a late rusher who finished
very close among stakes company. But, yikes, imagine a son of the late Cozzene winning the Derby at this stage of his forgotten career. Hmmm, no so probable Question but who knows Wink .

COZZETTI (gray/ro colt 2009)
http://www.pedigreequery.com/cozzetti


Very interesting pattern in this one

http://www.pedigreequery.com/la+pascua

the inbreeding here is no accident. Love the Sir Gaylord and Turn To.

jm
_________________
Run the race - the one that's really worth winning.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Pedigree Query Forum Index -> Racing All times are GMT - 5 Hours
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next
Page 1 of 10

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum


Powered by phpBB 2.0.11 © 2001, 2002 phpBB Group