Zenytta to Bernardini

General on-topic discussion.

Moderators: Roguelet, hpkingjr, WaveMaster

docjocoy
Restricted Stakes Winner
Posts: 826
Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:45 am
Location: CT/CA

Zenytta to Bernardini

Postby docjocoy » Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:00 pm


User avatar
springboro
Grade II Winner
Posts: 1305
Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2007 10:53 am

Postby springboro » Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:23 pm

so 'splain this one to me.... why not go to the sire AP Indy instead? Ok ok, i'll read the article!

User avatar
springboro
Grade II Winner
Posts: 1305
Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2007 10:53 am

Postby springboro » Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:33 pm

k, read the article and here is what I conclude:

AP Indy is $150,000 AEI 3.06/3.52 AWD 8.27
Bernardini is $75,000 AEI 2.30/4.11 AWD 7.36

I would have thought they would really want to send her to the known established sire.

I do think that Bernardini is the more attractive one from the pics though.

docjocoy
Restricted Stakes Winner
Posts: 826
Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:45 am
Location: CT/CA

Postby docjocoy » Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:40 pm

springboro wrote:so 'splain this one to me.... why not go to the sire AP Indy instead? Ok ok, i'll read the article!


I'm thinking fertility, perhaps they don't want to delay the pregnancy if AP Indy doesn't fire.

Tbird
Maiden Special Weight
Posts: 227
Joined: Sat May 23, 2009 5:42 pm

Postby Tbird » Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:24 pm

Maybe they want something on the bottom side of Bernardini's pedigree? Just an uneducated guess.

Tbird
Maiden Special Weight
Posts: 227
Joined: Sat May 23, 2009 5:42 pm

Postby Tbird » Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:27 pm

I meant to say that maybe they want something on Bernardini's bottom side in addition to the top AP Indie side.

User avatar
Gallop58
Maiden Special Weight
Posts: 195
Joined: Mon Jan 24, 2005 10:37 am
Location: Ontario

Postby Gallop58 » Wed Jan 26, 2011 2:22 pm

I would have thought that the stud farm would be paying them, no?
Can't imagine them shelling out a nickel for a stud fee in year 1 or 2 and I had assumed there's a bidding war going the other way to attract her.
No basis in facts, but just what I had presumed must be going on in the background. Wrong headed thinking?

"Bernardini is out of grade I winner Cara Rafaela, by Quiet American , and stands at Sheikh Mohammed’s Darley near Lexington."

clh
Grade I Winner
Posts: 1586
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:05 pm
Location: Ohio

Postby clh » Wed Jan 26, 2011 4:28 pm

Just my opinion but I don't really think no amount of bidding wars would sway the Moss's minds on any decision that they would make when it comes to Zenyatta. I think they made the decision based on what they thought was the best mating possible for their mare, period. (and I seriously doubt they cared whether they paid $75,000 or $150,000 for the stud fee :wink: )
"We are the people our parents warned us about" - Jimmy Buffett

"My occupational hazard is that my occupation is just not around" - Jimmy Buffett

User avatar
horse
2yo Maiden
Posts: 88
Joined: Sun Mar 29, 2009 9:52 am
Location: Far South of Ocala

Bernardini in 2011, then what stallion in 2012 and beyond?

Postby horse » Wed Jan 26, 2011 6:50 pm

Eliminate the Stud Fees (they're proprietary), this discussion surrounds stallion's blood mixed with that of Zenyatta.

If this A.P. Indy line is preferential, should the up and coming stallion Congrats be considered?
Will he be a covering stallion for her in the future?

erins isle
Grade III Winner
Posts: 1125
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 6:26 am
Location: The basement of Europe

Postby erins isle » Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:52 pm

I am sure that there will be an explanation in short time, since Zenyatta is hot news and the whole horseworld is watching.
The more I get to know people, the more I love animals.

Betsy
Maiden Special Weight
Posts: 112
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 5:30 pm

Postby Betsy » Thu Jan 27, 2011 6:14 am

There are lots of reasons to love this selection. No one loves Indy more than I do, but he's aging and is coming off a mediocre year, as aging stallions are won't to do. Bernardini was a tremendous runner. He's a beautiful speciman and he's passing on speed and quality to his offspring. Clearly the family matches well. Zenyatta's breeder has a half to Zenyatta by Bernardini who is considered pretty special and Balance sired Mr. Besilu, the gorgeous AP Indy sales topper from last year. The Mosses put in lot of thought for this selection - their reasoning has already been explained ( I don't have a link, but you can probably find it on the Blood Horse or similar sites).

Bernardini is an extremely promisng sire who is very well thought of - so ini all respects this is a good choice, I think

zinn21
3rd Year Sire
Posts: 3307
Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2005 8:23 pm

Postby zinn21 » Thu Jan 27, 2011 6:57 am

It would be interesting to know just what were all the factors employed in the decision. I wonder if biomechanics played any role..
"Politicians should be limited to two terms, one in office and another in jail." Anonymous

User avatar
Gallop58
Maiden Special Weight
Posts: 195
Joined: Mon Jan 24, 2005 10:37 am
Location: Ontario

Postby Gallop58 » Thu Jan 27, 2011 7:14 am

http://www.paulickreport.com/news/ray-s ... irst-date/

Not that it's very illuminating.
Reading between the lines I would venture to say that thankfully pedigree crossword puzzles and doubling up of irrelevent ancestors likely was not the basis of a decision.

User avatar
Sysonby
Breeder's Cup Contender
Posts: 1755
Joined: Thu Sep 16, 2004 2:27 pm
Location: California

Postby Sysonby » Thu Jan 27, 2011 7:39 am

I thought their explanation made a lot of sense. Realistically there are only a very small handful of stallions they could have gone to which are in her league so to speak. Giant's Causeway is the only other one that checks all the boxes. A P Indy is old, purportedly not stopping his mares and the last thing you want with a maiden mare is a late foal or a missed season. I tend to agree that she was at Lanes End not due to him necessarily but because Darley doesn't board and security is tighter at LE than most farms. After all, this is where the Queen (of England) stayed when she came to the Derby a few years ago. I'm sure as open and generous as the Mosses have been that they are aware of Fanfreluche and Shergar. It also may be that LE welcomed the attention while other farms didn't want the extra stress.

Shammy Davis
Chef de Race: Classic
Posts: 4451
Joined: Sat Oct 02, 2004 8:23 am

Postby Shammy Davis » Thu Jan 27, 2011 8:54 am

On TrueNicks this B&Z mating is A++ with a variant=12.28. There are a couple G1SW on the same rated cross. Doesn't appear to be many foals on this cross.

With A P INDY it is a A++ with a variant =9.00

With A P INDY there is inbreeding through BR, HTR, Princequillo. With Bernardini it looks like only 4X5 inbreeding to Mr. P. Everything else, dosage, center of distribution, et al looks basically the same.