worst bet that you didn't make that you should have cashed?
Posted: Sun Dec 30, 2007 10:17 pm
Oh man I want to cry when I talk about mine.
The 2005 Kentucky Derby. It was the first time I actually really sat down and handicapped the kentucky derby.
I knew speed would fail. too many speedballs in the race that could not or didn't like to be rated.
I said to myself, the race is going to come down to these horses... Afleet Alex, Closing Arguement, don't get mad, Giacomo, Buzzard's Bay and Wilko.. all horses that sit off the pace.
I said I'm going to get crazy and play a superfecta. why the hell not.. huge pools, 20 horse field, I'm not going to hit but what the hell.
Using my closing theory, that all late closers would be up in the top by the end of the race... here was my superfecta:
1st: Don't get mad, closing arguement, wilko, giacomo, afleet alex
2nd: Afleet Alex, don't get mad, closing arguement
3rd: closing arguement, giacomo, dont' get mad, wilko
4th: closing arguement, giacomo, don't get mad, wilko
I did not see a senerio where alfeet alex was worst than 2nd place.
Embarassed
for thoose of you who don't know, the order of finish was
giacomo
closing arguement
afleet alex
dont' get mad
1 dollar ticket paid over 800 thousand dollars. to this day I am still sick about this race. it took me about a week for me to accecpt the fact that I did not win it. I was actually kinda tramatized. I want to cry whenever I here about the 05 derby. just boxing the damn 4 horses i'd be set.
sickening
The 2005 Kentucky Derby. It was the first time I actually really sat down and handicapped the kentucky derby.
I knew speed would fail. too many speedballs in the race that could not or didn't like to be rated.
I said to myself, the race is going to come down to these horses... Afleet Alex, Closing Arguement, don't get mad, Giacomo, Buzzard's Bay and Wilko.. all horses that sit off the pace.
I said I'm going to get crazy and play a superfecta. why the hell not.. huge pools, 20 horse field, I'm not going to hit but what the hell.
Using my closing theory, that all late closers would be up in the top by the end of the race... here was my superfecta:
1st: Don't get mad, closing arguement, wilko, giacomo, afleet alex
2nd: Afleet Alex, don't get mad, closing arguement
3rd: closing arguement, giacomo, dont' get mad, wilko
4th: closing arguement, giacomo, don't get mad, wilko
I did not see a senerio where alfeet alex was worst than 2nd place.
Embarassed
for thoose of you who don't know, the order of finish was
giacomo
closing arguement
afleet alex
dont' get mad
1 dollar ticket paid over 800 thousand dollars. to this day I am still sick about this race. it took me about a week for me to accecpt the fact that I did not win it. I was actually kinda tramatized. I want to cry whenever I here about the 05 derby. just boxing the damn 4 horses i'd be set.
sickening