Who do we like in the Belmont?

tbrace · Postby **tbrace** » Sun May 25, 2008 7:07 pm

Is Casino the real deal? How about some of the other probables?

bdw0617 · Postby **bdw0617** » Mon May 26, 2008 6:35 am

it depends on the odds.

if Casino Drive is anything over 7/2 I think he is worth the risk.

however if big brown is over even money that might be worth the risk as well.

TomFool · Postby **TomFool** » Mon May 26, 2008 2:14 pm

Big Brown over even money LOL He will be 1-9.

ratherrapid · Postby **ratherrapid** » Tue May 27, 2008 10:31 am

wheel tale of ekati with the field seems the no-brainer.

UmmYeah · Postby **UmmYeah** » Tue May 27, 2008 10:34 am

ratherrapid wrote:wheel tale of ekati with the field seems the no-brainer.

That last work was not encouraging, though. 6F in 1:18 and change? Yikes. Here's the bit about it from DRF.

* Tale of Ekati, the Wood Memorial winner and fourth-place finisher in the Kentucky Derby, worked six furlongs in a pedestrian 1:18.47 Monday morning jockey Eibar Coa.

Tale of Ekati went his first quarter-mile in 26.32 seconds and got his last half-mile in 52.15, with Coa barely moving on the colt. Though Belmont's main track was dry and yielded slow times after the renovation break, trainer Barclay Tagg was incredulous with what he saw.

"I don't know how a world-class rider can go out there and work [a horse] in 1:18 - I just don't know," said Tagg, who added he was so upset that he didn't talk to Coa after the move. "I told him go in 1:12."

Coa said that Tale of Ekati started the work on his wrong lead and was also on his wrong lead in the stretch.

"He was acting a little bit weird today," Coa said. "I didn't want to force him to do something that I didn't feel was the right thing. He's a better worker than that."

Tagg said he didn't know if or how he would adjust Tale of Ekati's training schedule. He planned to work the colt again on Sunday.

bdw0617 · Postby **bdw0617** » Tue May 27, 2008 10:41 am

TomFool wrote:Big Brown over even money LOL He will be 1-9.

you my friend have no idea how the japanese bet. they make us look like amatures with the amount they throw in pools ,and they will be throwing a lot at casino drive

oliverstoned · Postby **oliverstoned** » Tue May 27, 2008 6:17 pm

I want to go with Casino Drive but I'm having a hard time with the third start thing. Somebody help me get over this.

Sam · Postby **Sam** » Tue May 27, 2008 7:35 pm

oliverstoned wrote:I want to go with Casino Drive but I'm having a hard time with the third start thing. Somebody help me get over this.

Big Brown. Third Start. Florida Derby.

Big Brown. Fourth Start. Kentucky Derby.

It's not the number of starts, it's the individual horse and how he responds to it.

If we were talking about Rock Hard Ten, I wouldn't touch that with a ten foot pole. He was a clown. Talented, but a clown (and a rogue). I don't get that same impression from Casino Drive.

bdw0617 · Postby **bdw0617** » Wed May 28, 2008 4:15 am

alot of 2YO's win grade 1's, at least good ones, in their 2nd start. Indian Blessing, Country Star, Majestic Warrior did last year.

The best horse in the field has all of 5 starts.