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PostPosted: Sun Apr 10, 2016 12:25 pm 
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Here's the way it looks so far. The cutoff point is way up there this year, currently 32 points. From the looks of it, a couple bad starts didn't turn off Mohaymen or Shagaf who are definite starters. Maiden, Trojan Nation, is seriously considering a run in the Derby. No official word yet on Danzig Candy...but that was a bad track at SA so I hope he runs. If either Trojan Nation or Danzig Candy do exit, "bubbleboy" Laoban, another maiden will be happy to take the spot. The toughest beat in the points I see is Cherry Wine, who deserves a shot in the Derby. I wonder if Cherry Wine could spice up the wildcard race and run back in a weeks time in The Lexington...if he wins it, he will jump the 32 point group. Looking further forward, the Arkansas Derby could knock out a bunch of the 32 pointers all together with the likes of Creator, Whitmore, Suddenbreakingnews, Discreetness, Dazzling Gem and Unbridled Outlaw looking to knock out the end of the list. TJ

1 Gun Runner... Steve Asmussen... 151 $849,200
2 Nyquist... Doug O'Neill... 130 $2,289,000
3 Exaggerator... Keith Desormeaux... 126 $1,628,000
4 Outwork... Todd Pletcher... 120 $660,000
5 Brody's Cause... Dale Romans... 114 $1,100,000
6 Lani... Mikio Matsunaga... 100 $1,300,119
7 Mor Spirit... Bob Baffert... 84 $616,800
8 Mohaymen... Kiaran McLaughlin... 80 $807,750
9 Danzig Candy... Cliff Sise Jr.... 60 $290,000
10 Destin... Todd Pletcher... 51 $338,000
11 Cupid... Bob Baffert... 50 $540,000
12 Oscar Nominated (S)... Mike Maker... 50 $321,360
13 Shagaf... Chad Brown... 50 $270,000
14 Tom's Ready... Dallas Stewart... 44 $270,670
15 Majesto... Gustavo Delgado... 40 $190,000
16 Trojan Nation... Paddy Gallagher ...40 $190,000 ($213,290)
17 My Man Sam... Chad Brown... 40 $200,000
18 Mo Tom... Tom Amoss... 32 $328,326
19 Fellowship... Stanley Gold... 32 $210,950
20 Adventist... Leah Gyarmati... 32 $155,000

On The Bubble:
21 Laoban... Eric Guillot ...32 $142,000
22 Uncle Lino... Gary Sherlock... 29 $174,000
23 Cherry Wine... Dale Romans... 25 $145,000
24 Whitmore... Ron Moquett... 24 $300,000
25 Azar... Todd Pletcher... 20 $273,800
26 Dazzling Gem... Brad Cox... 20 $100,000
27 Zulu... Todd Pletcher... 20 $$81,422
28 Flexibility... Chad Brown... 15 $252,500
29 Swipe... Keith Desormeaux... 12 $597,130
30 Collected... Bob Baffert... 11 $312,500
31 Airoforce... Mark Casse... 10 $449,080
32 Suddenbreakingnews... Donnie Von Hemel... 10 $437,000
33 Cocked and Loaded... Larry Rivelli... 10 $310,840
34 Discreetness... Williams Fires... 10 $248,153
35 Frank Conversation... Doug O'Neill... 10 $199,000
36 Riker... Mark Casse... 10 $189,375
37 Surgical Strike... Ben Colebrook... 10 $122,995
38 Creator... Steve Asmussen... 10 $90,000


Last edited by TJ on Wed Apr 20, 2016 2:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 17, 2016 2:36 pm 
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Okay, here is the final Derby point standings. The top 20 will be in the Derby unless they are withdrawn by their connections for one reason or another. This is the highest Derby points accumulated by the number 20 Derby entrant...40 points, that's a lot considering they've gotten in with 20 in past years....if you remember, the past two years Dallas Stewart drew in off the bubble and finished 2nd both times at big prices:>) Dallas isn't worrying about that this year, he's in the Derby at number 17. Six others that have accumulated more then 20 points are all waiting to see what happens. Unfortunately hard luck Mo Tom, is on the Bubble, number 21 hoping to get in, he surely deserves a shot. TJ

1- Gun Runner, Steve Asmussen, 151 $849,200
2- Nyquist, Doug O'Neill, 130 $3,289,000
3- Exaggerator, Keith Desormeaux, 126 $1,628,000
4- Outwork, Todd Pletcher, 120 $660,000
5- Brody's Cause, Dale Romans, 114 $1,100,000
6- Creator, Steve Asmussen, 110 $690,000
7- Lani, Mikio Matsunaga, 100 $1,300,119
8- Mor Spirit, Bob Baffert, 84 $616,800
9- Mohaymen , Kiaran McLaughlin, 80 $807,750
10- Danzig Candy, Cliff Sise Jr., 60 $290,000
11- Destin, Todd Pletcher, 51 $338,000
12- Suddenbreakingnews, Donnie Von Hemel, 50 $637,000
13- Cupid, Bob Baffert, 50 $542,857
14- Oscar Nominated, Mike Maker, 50 $321,360 (Supplemented to Derby)
15- Shagaf, Chad Brown, 50 $270,000
16- Whitmore, Ron Moquett, 44 $400,000
17- Tom's Ready, Dallas Stewart, 44 $270,670
18- My Man Sam, Chad Brown, 40 $200,000 (Career: $251,200)
19- Majesto, Gustavo Delgado, 40 $190,000
20- Trojan Nation, Paddy Gallagher, 40 $190,000 (Career: $213,290)

On The Bubble:
21- Mo Tom, Tom Amoss, 32 $268,326
22- Fellowship, Stanley Gold, 32 $206,590
23- Adventist, Leah Gyarmati, 32 $155,000
24- Laoban, Eric Guillot, 32 $142,000
25- Dazzling Gem, Brad Cox, 30 $150,000
26- Cherry Wine, Dale Romans, 25 $145,000


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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 4:55 pm 
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Cupid is out - goes in for surgery for an entrapped epiglotis.
Mo Tom in!

Also, Fellowship is now trained by Mark Casse.


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PostPosted: Tue Apr 19, 2016 7:27 am 
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Cree wrote:
Cupid is out - goes in for surgery for an entrapped epiglotis.
Mo Tom in!

Also, Fellowship is now trained by Mark Casse.

Hi Cree,
It's nice to see hard luck Mo Tom get in the Derby...probably the first lucky break he's had since his last two races:>) Glad it isn't something serious that stopped Cupid...if all goes well, he might still make the Preakness.
I was surprised to see Jack Brei (Jacks or Better Farm) take his horses away from Stanley Gold, together they won almost 60 stakes races during the 10 years they've been together. TJ


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PostPosted: Wed Apr 20, 2016 9:28 am 
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The good news is the past performances for the Derby are out!! The bad news is it doesn't make picking the winner any easier:>) This version of the PP's is currently up to date with Mo Tom listed as number 20. Be aware the horses are listed by derby points and earnings and actual post positions won't be drawn till Derby week. TJ
http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/KYDerby16.pdf


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PostPosted: Fri Apr 22, 2016 6:11 am 
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A tough race.
I think Nyquist will run his usual big race, but I see a closer (which one... that is the question!??!) nipping him at the finish. What a tough year!


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 2:20 pm 
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Cree wrote:
Cupid is out - goes in for surgery for an entrapped epiglotis.
Mo Tom in!

Also, Fellowship is now trained by Mark Casse.

Hi Cree,
Fellowship had his first breeze for the Casse barn yesterday. He worked a strong 5/8ths (1:00.40)and Casse's son was very impressed with him. It's a positive sign that he worked so well at CD, as some horses don't like the surface. On the negative side, he always was a very good workhorse...but maybe in Casse's hands, he will show more then he did for Stanley Gold off a good work? TJ


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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 9:06 am 
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Cree wrote:
A tough race.
I think Nyquist will run his usual big race, but I see a closer (which one... that is the question!??!) nipping him at the finish. What a tough year!


I'm reserving judgement until after the Derby, but I'm secretly hoping he outruns his pedigree.
I'd love for him to be the real deal, and not just a great horse at certain distances.


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PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2016 9:39 am 
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Here are the official entries with riders for Kentucky Derby 142. The top 20 are listed according to Derby points earnings. Two also eligible's were also entered hoping for a defection. Post Positions to be announced when available in another post. TJ
Gun Runner (Florent Geroux)
Nyquist (Mario Gutierrez)
Exaggerator (Kent Desormeaux)
Outwork (John Velazquez)
Brody’s Cause (Luis Saez)
Creator (Ricardo Santana Jr.)
Lani (Yutaka Take)
Mor Spirit (Gary Stevens)
Mohaymen (Junior Alvarado)
Danzing Candy (Mike Smith)
Destin (Javier Castellano)
Suddenbreakingnews (Luis Quinonez)
Oscar Nominated (Julien Leparoux)
Shagaf (Joel Rosario)
Whitmore (Victor Espinoza)
Tom’s Ready (Brian Hernandez Jr.)
My Man Sam (Irad Ortiz Jr.)
Majesto (Emisael Jaramillo)
Trojan Nation (Aaron Gryder)
Mo Tom (Corey Lanerie)

Also Eligible:
Laoban (Cornelio Velasquez)
Cherry Wine (Robby Albarado)


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