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 Post subject: The GR I Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Tue May 03, 2016 2:20 pm 
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Here's the entries and post positions for Friday's GR I Kentucky Oaks, below are the past performances. TJ

11th RACE. (C11) Post 5:49PM
The 142nd Running of the LONGINES KENTUCKY OAKS (Grade I)
PURSE $1,000,000 1 1/8 Miles
FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD.

1 TERRA PROMESSA (L) E0 Asmussen, S Santana, Jr., R 121
2 WEEP NO MORE (L) E0 Arnold, II, G Lanerie, C 121
3 LEWIS BAY (L) E2 Brown, C Ortiz, Jr., I 121
4 GO MAGGIE GO (L) E0 Romans, D Saez, L 121
5 DREAM DANCE (L) E0 Howard, N Hernandez, Jr, B 121
6 MOKAT (L) E0 Baltas, R Prat, F 121
7 MO D'AMOUR (L) E0 Pletcher, T Rosario, J 121
8 ROYAL OBSESSION (L) E0 Asmussen, S Geroux, F 121
9 PAOLA QUEEN (L) E0 Delgado, G Jaramillo, E 121
10 VENUS VALENTINE (L) E0 Amoss, T Bridgmohan, S 121
11 RACHEL'S VALENTINA (L) E0 Pletcher, T Velazquez, J 121
12 CATHRYN SOPHIA (L) E0 Servis, J Castellano, J 121
13 LAND OVER SEA (L) E0 O'Neill, D Gutierrez, M 121
14 TAXABLE (L) E0 Asmussen, S Smith, M 121
--Also Eligibles--
15 DOTHRAKI QUEEN (L) E0 McPeek, K Stevens, G 121

Click on Land Over Sea: http://www.tlore.net/trainers/oneill/public/brisnet.cfm


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PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2016 7:38 pm 
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Okay let's get this party started...bombs away in the Oaks:>) TJ

Dream Dance...She reminds me of a throwback from earlier times:>) Ran 7 times as a 2YO and comes into this race 3rd off a layoff...her trainer has a 28% strike rate with this move. Unusual since Neil Howard isn't one to run 2YO's that often, he must have been confident in her soundness and seems he's pointed her for this one?
Cathryn Sophia...her trainer, John Servis ruled her out of this one after suffering her 1st defeat going a mile and a 1/16 for the first time. He quickly changed his mind when he found out Songbird was out. Worked strong for this (albeit at Keeneland), but distance is a question and post doesn't help?
Rachel's Valentina...another with ability, but gets a tough post. This well bred, yet small 3YO filly has yet to win beyond 7/8ths of a mile?
Dothraki Queen...the only AE in the field has a ton of ability, but had a tough time getting back to the races as a 3YO. She earned all her points as a 2YO, but might surprise if she gets in? Another bad post position.
Land Over Sea...Promptly got the job done once she got away from Songbird. Doug O'Neil and Mario Gutierrez have a solid shot with this 3YO filly. Easily handled Dream Dance the one time they met, but unfortunately she too gets a bad outside post.


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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2016 10:20 pm 
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I've just started a new job on the other side of the country...poor timing for handicapping!

My picks for the Oaks:

Lewis Bay
Land Over Sea
Rachel's Valentina
Weep No More


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2016 4:23 am 
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Cree wrote:
I've just started a new job on the other side of the country...poor timing for handicapping!

My picks for the Oaks:

Lewis Bay
Land Over Sea
Rachel's Valentina
Weep No More

Hi Cree,
Good luck with the new job....I think I'll put your top one with my "bomb", Lewis Bay was bothering me. I hope you aren't near that wildfire....are you?? TJ


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2016 12:28 pm 
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Rachel's Valentina
Land Over Sea
Cathryn Sophia
Weep No More


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2016 3:00 pm 
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Cathryn Sofia...ran away and hid from these today, John Servis (trainer of Smarty Jones), made the right decision:>)
Land Over Sea...a credible but distant 2nd.
Lewis Bay...3rd
Go Maggie Go...4th


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2016 8:03 pm 
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Beautiful win by Cathryn Sophia. I hope she hooks up with Songbird at some point.
Lewis Bay would've stayed on for second, if she HAD switched her darn lead!!!


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