Derby prep speed figures

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Aug27
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Derby prep speed figures

Postby Aug27 » Wed Apr 11, 2018 11:08 am

For those of us who put some credence on speed figures ...

Date Race Winner (Points) Brisnet Beyer Equibase
6-Jan-18 Sham S. McKinzie (+10) 104 97 110
13-Jan-18 Jerome S. Firenze Fire (+10) 94 85 98
13-Jan-18 Lecomte S. Instilled Regard (+10) 96 92 106
15-Jan-18 Smarty Jones S. Mourinho (+10) 99 99 107
3-Feb-18 Holy Bull S. Audible (+10) 105 99 97
3-Feb-18 Robert B. Lewis S Lombo (+10) 88 86 107
3-Feb-18 Withers S. Avery Island (+10) 94 87 93
10-Feb-18 Sam F. Davis Flameaway (+10) 101 92 106
17-Feb-18 El Camino Real Derby Paved (+10) 102 86 112
17-Feb-18 Risen Star S. Bravazo (+50) 98 93 110
19-Feb-18 Southwest S. My Boy Jack (+10) 98 93 106
3-Mar-18 Fountain of Youth S. Promises Fulfilled (+50) 104 96 115
10-Mar-18 Gotham S. Enticed (+50) 104 95 113
10-Mar-18 San Felipe S. Bolt d'Oro (+50) 98 101 118
10-Mar-18 Tampa Bay Derby Quip (+50) 98 94 97
17-Mar-18 Jeff Ruby Steaks Blended Citizen (+20) 100 83 109
17-Mar-18 Rebel S. Magnum Moon (+50) 100 97 109
24-Mar-18 Louisiana Derby Noble Indy (+100) 100 95 106
25-Mar-18 Sunland Derby Runaway Ghost (+50) 96 85 96
31-Mar-18 Florida Derby Audible (+100) 107 99 111
7-Apr-18 Blue Grass S. Good Magic (+100) 98 95 104
7-Apr-18 Santa Anita Derby Justify (+100) 114 107 108
7-Apr-18 Wood Memorial Vino Rosso (+100) 102 98 106

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TJ
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Re: Derby prep speed figures

Postby TJ » Wed Apr 11, 2018 2:42 pm

Hi Aug,
Thanks for posting the figures....some pretty lofty beyer numbers showing in these Derby preps. I don't know if you saw it, but they did compute a beyer speed figure for Mendelssohn's 3/31 UAE Derby win, he had the 2nd best beyer speed figure of all the prep races with a 106. TJ

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Joltman
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Re: Derby prep speed figures

Postby Joltman » Wed Apr 11, 2018 4:56 pm

This is very interesting. It shows if nothing else how all over the board these figures are. And it will be interesting to see after the fact whose figs are closer to relevant.

jm
Run the race - the one that's really worth winning.

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Joltman
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Re: Derby prep speed figures

Postby Joltman » Wed Apr 11, 2018 5:10 pm

This is very interesting. It shows if nothing else how all over the board these figures are. And it will be interesting to see after the fact whose figs are closer to relevant.

jm
Run the race - the one that's really worth winning.

Aug27
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Re: Derby prep speed figures

Postby Aug27 » Thu Apr 12, 2018 9:54 am

I think it is noteworthy that Justify's Santa Anita Derby was the second fastest Brisnet speed figure of the year, second only to Gun Runner's Pegasus.

Another thing of note: of Baffert's 25 most recent first time starter winners, only two won at 7f: Justify and McKinzie. All the others won at shorter distances ...
So, I suppose one could argue he has a good handle on which of his prospects are most likely best-suited to early success at longer distances.