Postby merse » Sat Oct 17, 2009 5:09 am
First off, let me state that Rasmussen Factors are always considered in my breeding decisions but only as one of many factors and mainly in the case of a tie-breaker (i.e. with all other factors approximately equal and one possible mating has a RF and the other doesn't, I'll opt for the one that offers the RF).
I have read a ton of stuff on the pros and cons of the RF and believe, like a lot of the theories in breeding, that there is simply not a sufficient statistical sample size to really nail it down. That doesn't mean it might not be true however, it just means one has to intelligently analyze the data input.
The thing a lot of people forget is that the RF principle talks about inbreeding to superior females and herein lies the rub. If you have two horses with the RF, that RF may be The Bride (Secretariat's full sister - see earlier comment in this thread) for Horse A or it may be to Personal Ensign (a superior runner and producer) for Horse B. For statistical purposes, both horses have the RF. I personally feel, the RF in Horse B will get you a better runner.
I also believe that geographical limitations play a big part in the older pedigrees with the RF. Before the recent, "modern area" people pretty much remained local for their breeding purposes and stallion books were smaller and more closely selected in terms of what mares were allowed "in." Now, one often may ship a mare out of state to breed to a stallion.
Take for example a farm like Claiborne. I use them as an example because I like looking at their mares in sales catalogs because you typically will see the Claiborne stallion roster as one goes down the tail female line (Mare A is by Seeking the Gold out of a Danzig daughter who is out of an Unbridled daughter who is out of a Buckpasser daughter who is out of a Round Table daughter, etc.). In a mare's broodmare career, assume her colt/filly produce is 50%/50%. Breeding from a somewhat "closed" broodmare band, it would stand to reason that, somewhere down the line, a mare's descendent will probably be bred to a Claiborne stallion who has the same female ancestor - thus creating a Rasmussen Factor.