Postby TJ » Sun Dec 30, 2007 6:38 am
Posted: Sat Dec 29, 2007 12:30 pm Post subject:
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Maybe there isn't a GR1 winner in there now, but there will be right after they run the race. Now if you posted this in the handicapping forum I would have given you the winner, but that stuff doesn't go in this section:>) TJ
Hi All,
All right, the Redboard Room is starting to get some play. The above post was from BDW's post on the racing forum. I had a horse in the LaBrea that I liked a lot and was confident in being of graded caliber..........but no one asked and I didn't crack....that was Unspoken Word.
Unspoken Word was the horse I really liked and followed her from NY to Cali. Sold privately by Paul Pompa Jr. and under new management she was training better than I ever saw her train--it was obvious she loved the synthetic. The track played slightly better to speed today, although not as totally speed biased as opening day. If any of you read my post about Johnny Eves, these two race winners Johnny Eves and Dearest Trickster had almost identical form. Highest last race beyer in the field (by far), liked the synthetic, liked the grass (as did the 2nd place horse), and ran a huge race last time out (22.1, 44.2, 1:08, 1:14.2) at Hollywood at the same distance as Johnny's winning race prior to both horses winning their first GR 1's, it was dejavue:>) Momma didn't raise no fool so the one two picks for me were a no brainer:>). The similarities were amazing, right down to both horses running at the same 7 furlong distance in their stakes debt. What I learned previously I didn't forget, speed will prevail over class at SA. So keeping that in mind Dearest Trick was clearly the horse to beat. Knowing Unspoken Word was, in my opinion a graded quality filly, I just happened to pull one outta the hat after I pulled out the THUMB:>)
Read the first post in this thread, it was a blueprint for picking this winner. This is what the redboard room is all about, seeing mistakes you made before and hopefully not making them again. This was the quickest I've ever seen such an identical scenario play out, but I learned from my previous mistake and turned that into the winning exacta. Now after this day at SA, what did I learn:
Only one thing, at 7 furlongs the speed is a very strong factor, possibly moreso than 6f.........which is unusal and will be of value when handicapping a 7f race. TJ