DDT wrote:Ill-bred
The whole point of discussing the spot play was and is that the win/place percentage does hold up in the long run. I first published this play in March 1997, since that time I have tracked well over 5,000 qualifiers, and the percentage has held up.
DDT
You had 75% winners and 87.5% win/place yesterday at average winning odds of less than even money. You're saying that will hold up!?
Beyer tracked various top figure plays in one his books, and he did not come to the same conclusions as you regarding longterm profitability, particularly at low odds.
I believe he said the only time top fig horses are profitable long term is when the public does not believe in the figure -- see War Emblem, Charismatic, etc...