GSV 2008 Conquers Keeneland

[George William Smith]

I have posted the complete results of Keeneland's Spring Meet with the winners and their GSV scores, etc., on my home page:
http://www.members.shaw.ca/thematchmaker


High GSV's High Win Price $34.20
High GSV Lowest Win Price $3.60
Thus, profit not dependent
on rare, huge longshots
Average GSV of winner 71.84
Average GSV of all starters 71.00
[Keeneland attracts the best
bred horses in North America]
1350 starters with 121>79
GSV>79 were 9% of starters
Highest GSV>79 won 17% races
Other GSV>79 winners = 5
All GSV>79 winners = 20%

[hpkingjr]

George:

How was the profit/loss on either a win only or across the board?

[jagger]

Thanks for all your fine work, George. I will be ordering the Oaks/Derby package later today. Are you still recommending playing the top two GSV's on a particular race as the best strategy?

[George William Smith]

George:

How was the profit/loss on either a win only or across the board?

Straight win bets on horses with a GSV>79

Even I can't believe how solid the results are on other synthetic tracks as well.

Churchill might be interesting as it is dirt and I've yet to do enough race cards on dirt tracks to thoroughly understand how effective the GSV threshold of 79 is on that surface. Too busy to do many cards of Aqueduct, etc.

best, George

[George William Smith]

Thanks for all your fine work, George. I will be ordering the Oaks/Derby package later today. Are you still recommending playing the top two GSV's on a particular race as the best strategy?

Hi Jagger:
Right now, the results are really strong for flat betting the superbly bred [GSV>79] horses, up to a max of three in a race.. Most races have none, some have one and a very few of two or more.

You are right, the 3rd and 4th spots are often not filled by high GSV horses. The high ones usually run first or second or sixth and seventh in a large field

The Derby has been a slight exception as the 4th place runner usually has a high GSV also and the 3rd position is the weakest