2011 Kentucky Derby Pick

[Whirlaway]

I guess this is what it's all about.

Tough to know for sure who is gonna win it this year - it looks to be wide open. I do have my reasons for picking Midnight Interlude. He can carry the weight, he has the highest cruising speed, has the fastest third fraction and has the most total energy - doesn't mean he is gonna win. He never raced at two and that is a tough statistic to buck. I like how he ran in the Santa Anita Deby and if he can run back to that one, he should be tough.

We'll see come Saturday.

Midnight Interlude - Win
MuchoMachoMan - Place
Calvin Borel - Show

Best of racing luck - I hope your horse gets a clean trip!

[ElPrado]

t's the over/under on Borel? He might be worth the win bet. He could leave the horse at the quarter pole.

[Terrapin Flyer]

at this moment, and things can change before post time my top 4 is

Nehro
Midnight Interlude
Stay Thirsty
Archarcharch

Borel will pass some tired ones, but won't crack to top 10. I can't believe how much stake people are putting in the rider. The horse has to carry him & he aint on much horse (by Derby standards).

[reenci]

1)SOLDAT
2)DIALED IN
3) ANIMAL KINGDOM
4)SHACKLEFORD

Soldat with a stalking trip trounces the derby field with dialed in unleasing a late run through traffic...so theres your super , tri, exacta ..whatever...good luck to all of you.

[yukidragon]

1)Twice the Appeal

2)Animal Kingdom

3)Shackleford

4)Mucho Macho Man

[DDT]

Terrapin Flyer

All you ever have to do is watch the rides on Street Sense, Mind That Bird and Super Saver to understand why some people believe the jockey really matters in the Kentucky Derby, not too many chances to run mile and a quarter races, just ask Pat Day, he owned Churchill Downs, but he only won one Kentucky Derby in over 20 rides. Calvin is worth a hedge bet in the Kentucky Derby anytime.

DDT

[ratherrapid]

Speed work/races for last 45 days for anyone interested.

Horse: number of speed furlongs last 45 days/speed works per month

Midnight Interlude: 50/5.3
Nehro: 47/5.3
ArchArchArch: 46/5.3
MuchoMachoMan: 43/4.7
WatchMeGo: 38/4
Santiva: 37/4.7
Brilliant Speed: 36/4.7
Comma At The Top: 36/4
Twice The Appeal: 35/4
Derby Kitten: 34/3.33
Soldat: 33/6
Stay Thirsty: 32/4
Animal Kingdom: 30/3.3
Uncle Mo: 27/4
Pants On Fire: 27/3.3
Decisive Moment: 26/2.7
Dialed In: 21/2.7:

[Bast]

Speed work/races for last 45 days for anyone interested.

Horse: number of speed furlongs last 45 days/speed works per month

Midnight Interlude: 50/5.3
Nehro: 47/5.3
ArchArchArch: 46/5.3
MuchoMachoMan: 43/4.7
WatchMeGo: 38/4
Santiva: 37/4.7
Brilliant Speed: 36/4.7
Comma At The Top: 36/4
Twice The Appeal: 35/4
Derby Kitten: 34/3.33
Soldat: 33/6
Stay Thirsty: 32/4
Animal Kingdom: 30/3.3
Uncle Mo: 27/4
Pants On Fire: 27/3.3
Decisive Moment: 26/2.7
Dialed In: 21/2.7:

Shackleford has done nothing in the last 45 days???

[TJ]

Speed work/races for last 45 days for anyone interested.

Horse: number of speed furlongs last 45 days/speed works per month

Midnight Interlude: 50/5.3
Nehro: 47/5.3
ArchArchArch: 46/5.3
MuchoMachoMan: 43/4.7
WatchMeGo: 38/4
Santiva: 37/4.7
Brilliant Speed: 36/4.7
Comma At The Top: 36/4
Twice The Appeal: 35/4
Derby Kitten: 34/3.33
Soldat: 33/6
Stay Thirsty: 32/4
Animal Kingdom: 30/3.3
Uncle Mo: 27/4
Pants On Fire: 27/3.3
Decisive Moment: 26/2.7
Dialed In: 21/2.7:

Shackleford has done nothing in the last 45 days???

Hi Bast,
Shakleford worked 5/8ths at CD on 4/23/11 in 1:00.20 Breezing and again on 4/30/11 at CD, going 5F in 58.80 Breezing. TJ

[Bast]

Speed work/races for last 45 days for anyone interested.

Horse: number of speed furlongs last 45 days/speed works per month

Midnight Interlude: 50/5.3
Nehro: 47/5.3
ArchArchArch: 46/5.3
MuchoMachoMan: 43/4.7
WatchMeGo: 38/4
Santiva: 37/4.7
Brilliant Speed: 36/4.7
Comma At The Top: 36/4
Twice The Appeal: 35/4
Derby Kitten: 34/3.33
Soldat: 33/6
Stay Thirsty: 32/4
Animal Kingdom: 30/3.3
Uncle Mo: 27/4
Pants On Fire: 27/3.3
Decisive Moment: 26/2.7
Dialed In: 21/2.7:

Shackleford has done nothing in the last 45 days???

Hi Bast,
Shakleford worked 5/8ths at CD on 4/23/11 in 1:00.20 Breezing and again on 4/30/11 at CD, going 5F in 58.80 Breezing. TJ

Good...that's what I thought I remembered...

[zinn21]

Nehro..

[reenci]

Speed work/races for last 45 days for anyone interested.

Horse: number of speed furlongs last 45 days/speed works per month

Midnight Interlude: 50/5.3
Nehro: 47/5.3
ArchArchArch: 46/5.3
MuchoMachoMan: 43/4.7
WatchMeGo: 38/4
Santiva: 37/4.7
Brilliant Speed: 36/4.7
Comma At The Top: 36/4
Twice The Appeal: 35/4
Derby Kitten: 34/3.33
Soldat: 33/6
Stay Thirsty: 32/4
Animal Kingdom: 30/3.3
Uncle Mo: 27/4
Pants On Fire: 27/3.3
Decisive Moment: 26/2.7
Dialed In: 21/2.7:

Shackleford has done nothing in the last 45 days???

no ..he went 5f in 58 and change...razor sharp

[Cree]

Soldat
Brilliant Speed
Midnight Interlude

[Turn-To Fan]

Archarcharch
Master of Hounds
Brilliant Speed

[ratherrapid]

Shackelford has done 30 speed F since 3/12 and averages 3.33 speed works/month. bottom 1/3 of the field, decent recent work tab.